May 2018

Ambitious nuclear programs

By Arthur Dunn

Recently, at least 40 developing countries around the world - from the Persian Gulf to Latin America - have appealed to UN officials in Vienna to indicate their interest in deploying programs to develop nuclear power. Experts in the field of nuclear non-proliferation are concerned about this trend, which, they say, can lead to the fact that at the disposal of a number of countries will be the elements necessary for the creation of a nuclear arsenal.

Commissioner Johannes Hahn on the Prospects of EU Integration

By  Jonathan D. Katz

On April 20 the German Marshall Fund in Washington hosted Johannes Hahn, EU Commissioner for EU Enlargements Negotiations and EU Neighbourhood, for a discussion focused on the EU’s relations with its neighbors in the Western Balkans, Turkey, Ukraine, Eastern Europe, and the Caucasus and on the process of reforms and the prospects of greater EU integration.

Foreword — Decline, Decay and Disintegration: Russia’s Future in the 21st Century

By Paul Goble

Russia currently faces three existential challenges that already point to its decline, decay and even disintegration in the coming decades. It has an economy oriented to the past rather than the future, one incapable of supporting a worthy standard of living for its people or even the plans of the Kremlin elite. It has a set of center-periphery relations in which Moscow increasingly views the regions and republics as burdens rather than partners, and the latter, in turn, view the center as an occupying power. And it has geopolitical ambitions which it is not in a position to support but that guarantee neither Russia nor its neighbors will be able to live in peace and prosperity in the coming decades.

James Sherr, British expert: Russia would not resort to escalation in Syria if Crimea remained Ukrainian

By Natalia Bukvych

After the poisoning in Salisbury, the large-scale expulsion of Russian diplomats, not only from Britain, but also from many other countries, the world expert society has begun to talk about the return to the Cold War. But after the escalation of the situation in Syria, more people begin to say that direct military clashes between Russia, on the one hand, and the United States with its allied troops, on the other, cease to be an unrealistic scenario. It still has not become "basic," but is called "pessimistic" quite often.